Retrospective trade analysis

Retrospective analysis only. Entries use transaction-date prices, before public disclosure. These results were not available to trade and do not estimate an investable strategy. Top-performer replication is unavailable because its selection and evaluation windows overlap.

Retrospective estimates only. Entries use closing prices on or before transaction dates, before public disclosure. These estimates could not have been traded using the disclosed information. Midpoint sizes and unequal holding periods do not reconstruct a funded portfolio. Taxes, fees, and disclosure delays are not modeled. How this is calculated

Strategy
Risk tolerance
Position sizing
Timeframe
Retrospective estimate
+11.9%
70% exposure scaling; not a funded portfolio
S&P 500 same window
+12.7%
2025-11-12 → 2026-11-12
Difference
-0.8%
Retrospective estimate minus benchmark
Ticker/member groups
1,000
1,316 disclosed buys

Attribution — what drove the result

Contribution is each group's share of the retrospective estimate, after exposure scaling. Trades have different entry dates; this is not a time-weighted portfolio.

BE
+3.41%
VTI
+0.83%
MU
+0.58%
AAPL
+0.41%
AMD
+0.28%
MSFT
+0.27%
VXUS
+0.27%
VTIAX
+0.24%
GOOGL
+0.19%
NVDA
+0.15%
LRCX
+0.12%
META
+0.12%

Top contributing trades

TickerMemberTradesEst. volumeWeightAvg. est. returnContribution
BENancy Pelosi2$3.8M10.6%+45.6%+3.38%
VTIWilliam F Hagerty, IV1$3.0M8.5%+13.7%+0.81%
MUCleo Fields1$175K0.5%+127.4%+0.44%
AAPLAlan Armstrong2$383K1.1%+38.1%+0.29%
VXUSA. Mitchell McConnell, Jr.4$1.0M2.9%+13.3%+0.27%
VTIAXA. Mitchell McConnell, Jr.1$750K2.1%+15.9%+0.24%
AMDAlan Armstrong1$33K0.1%+199.8%+0.13%
AMDGilbert Cisneros5$65K0.2%+98.2%+0.13%
MUAlan Armstrong1$33K0.1%+167.0%+0.11%
MSFTGilbert Cisneros5$248K0.7%+21.7%+0.11%
FSMDXJohn Hoeven2$350K1.0%+14.0%+0.10%
VDIGXJohn W Hickenlooper2$783K2.2%+6.2%+0.10%
LRCXMarkwayne Mullin1$75K0.2%+63.6%+0.09%
INTCNancy Pelosi1$750K2.1%+6.3%+0.09%
AAPLMarkwayne Mullin1$175K0.5%+25.6%+0.09%
OGary C Peters1$8K0.0%-13.6%-0.00%
INTUGilbert Cisneros1$8K0.0%-13.6%-0.00%
TXRHGilbert Cisneros1$8K0.0%-13.4%-0.00%
CYTKGilbert Cisneros1$8K0.0%-13.4%-0.00%
TAPGilbert Cisneros1$8K0.0%-13.3%-0.00%
WYNNAlan Armstrong1$8K0.0%-13.3%-0.00%
CFAlan Armstrong1$8K0.0%-13.3%-0.00%
SNNAlan Armstrong1$8K0.0%-12.9%-0.00%
ALCAlan Armstrong1$8K0.0%-12.9%-0.00%
COMPGilbert Cisneros1$8K0.0%-12.6%-0.00%